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U.S. and Iran Agree to Two-Week Ceasefire; Stock Futures Surge

By Artha Journal

President Trump stepped back from the edge of a major military escalation Tuesday night, agreeing to suspend attacks on Iran for two weeks after Pakistan brokered a last-minute diplomatic opening — a stunning reversal that sent Wall Street futures sharply higher and oil prices tumbling.

A wide-angle, photorealistic shot of a tense diplomatic meeting at night. Two male negotiators, representing the U.S. and Iran, sit opposite each other at a long, dark wood conference room table cluttered with documents. A Pakistani mediator stands between them in a dark traditional tunic, looking down solemnly. The room is dimly lit with navy blue and gold tones, featuring American, Iranian, and UN flags in the background. The style mimics Associated Press news photography with dramatic shadows and serious expressions.

The agreement came just hours before Trump’s self-imposed 8 p.m. ET deadline, which had threatened to trigger what the president himself described as catastrophic strikes on Iranian civilian infrastructure. Trump said he had agreed “to suspend the bombing and attack of Iran for a period of two weeks,” contingent on Iran reopening the Strait of Hormuz, NBC News reported. 

Tehran confirmed it would comply. Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said Iran would allow safe passage through the strait for two weeks under coordination with Iranian armed forces, and would halt military operations as long as it is not attacked.The deal was shaped almost entirely by Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, who hours earlier had publicly called on Trump to stand down. Trump wrote on Truth Social that Iran had submitted a 10-point peace proposal he described as “a workable basis on which to negotiate,” and that “almost all of the various points of past contention” had been resolved, Axios reported. Formal peace talks between the two sides are expected to begin Friday in Islamabad, with Vice President Vance likely leading the U.S. delegation.

Dow Jumps 1,000 Points, Oil Plunges 15% on Iran Truce News

The shift in tone was stark. Earlier in the day, Trump had warned that “a whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again” if no deal was reached — a threat that drew swift condemnation from legal experts and foreign governments alike, NPR reported.Markets wasted no time pricing in relief. S&P 500 futures surged more than 2.5% after the announcement, Dow futures spiked by roughly 1,000 points, and Nasdaq 100 futures jumped nearly 3%, according to NBC News.During the regular session, stocks had spent most of the day in the red. The S&P 500 had fallen as much as 1.2% before erasing those losses by the close, Bloomberg reported.

An editorial illustration featuring a split-screen composition. On the left, a blonde man in a suit and blue tie speaks from a "Press Briefing" podium with a presidential-style seal. On the right, two men in professional attire stand in a financial setting, looking up at a large digital ticker display. The ticker shows positive market data: "U.S. LARGE CAP +3.1%," "U.S. INDUSTRIAL +1,150 pts," and "TECH INDEX +3.3%," all accompanied by green upward-pointing triangles. A caption at the bottom reads: "Editorial Illustration: Market Reaction to Economic Address."

The energy market swung even more dramatically. U.S. crude oil futures plunged more than 15% to $96.27 a barrel — a stunning drop after oil had traded as high as $117 earlier in the day — while Brent crude fell 14.4% to $93.48, the Associated Press reported.Gold jumped 2.5%, silver rose 4.6%, and Treasury yields fell — all signs that investors were, at least temporarily, exhaling, per NBC News. 

The optimism extended across the Pacific. Japan’s Nikkei rose more than 4%, and South Korea’s Kospi gained 6% as Asian trading got underway, the AP reported. 

Still, analysts and officials urged caution. Israeli officials remained skeptical, privately warning that the breakthrough could unravel quickly if Iran does not visibly move to reopen the strait, PBS NewsHour reported.The war, which began in late February, has killed thousands and caused the largest disruption to global oil markets in modern history. Whether two weeks of diplomacy can translate into a lasting settlement remains deeply uncertain.

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